POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-W7ORXM-144
Polygon Mainnet
@Gift
Member since Jul 8, 2026
w7OrxmBSTZWp…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
144
76 correct · 68 incorrect
Track length
1.3 mo
Jul 8, 2026 → Aug 17, 2026
Completeness
98%
3 still open
Median horizon
4.1d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
21,225
Growing
Pace
110.8/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
BTCUSD 56.9%
Top sector concentration
Large Cap 62.5%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 138 | 53.6% | |
| Aug 26 | 6 | 33.3% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
97.5%
Avg accuracy on misses
6.1%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 82 | 59.8% | 60% | 56.9% |
| Gold · GCUSD | 5 | 80% | 80.1% | 3.5% |
| S&P 500 · ESUSD | 4 | 75% | 75.2% | 2.8% |
| Hyperliquid · HYPEUSD | 3 | 0% | 11.7% | 2.1% |
| Ethereum · ETHUSD | 3 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 2.1% |
| Litecoin · LTCUSD | 3 | 33.3% | 32% | 2.1% |
| SpaceX · SPCX | 2 | 50% | 50.9% | 1.4% |
| Apple Inc. · AAPL | 2 | 0% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Worldcoin · WLDUSD | 2 | 0% | 10.1% | 1.4% |
| 0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-by-july-14-20260626172559969 · 0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-by-july-14-20260626172559969 | 2 | 0% | 100% | 1.4% |
| Binance Coin · BNBUSD | 2 | 50% | 50.5% | 1.4% |
| Broadwind · BWEN | 2 | 50% | 47.2% | 1.4% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | META | LONG | Incorrect | -9.7% | 0x1d52719d… |
| Aug 17, 2026 | SPCX | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0x1d52719d… |
| Aug 17, 2026 | AAPL | LONG | Incorrect | -6.6% | 0x1d52719d… |
| Aug 10, 2026 | HYPEUSD | LONG | Incorrect | -10.1% | 0xae3221e2… |
| Aug 10, 2026 | GCUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0xae3221e2… |
| Aug 7, 2026 | WLDUSD | LONG | Incorrect | -18.0% | 0x9efe9360… |
| Jul 31, 2026 | GCUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x66a57044… |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BTCUSD | SHORT | Correct | 100.0% | 0x8adb0310… |