POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-IJS531-119
Polygon Mainnet
@Ayaan Munnim
Member since Jul 14, 2026
iJS531azgmV1…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
119
59 correct · 60 incorrect
Track length
1.3 mo
Jul 15, 2026 → Aug 22, 2026
Completeness
77.8%
34 still open
Median horizon
13d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
25,379
Growing
Pace
91.5/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
JPM 6.7%
Top sector concentration
Technology 22.7%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 77 | 42.9% | |
| Aug 26 | 42 | 61.9% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
82.3%
Avg accuracy on misses
13%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan Chase · JPM | 8 | 87.5% | 87.6% | 6.7% |
| Gold · GCUSD | 4 | 50% | 50.3% | 3.4% |
| Rocket Pool · RPLUSD | 2 | 50% | 46.7% | 1.7% |
| Supermicro · SMCI | 2 | 0% | 10.1% | 1.7% |
| Avalanche · AVAXUSD | 2 | 50% | 50.3% | 1.7% |
| NVIDIA · NVDA | 2 | 0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Dogecoin · DOGEUSD | 2 | 50% | 52.9% | 1.7% |
| Hyperliquid · HYPEUSD | 2 | 0% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Monero · XMRUSD | 2 | 100% | 100% | 1.7% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RPLUSD | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0xe769b70d… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | SMCI | LONG | Incorrect | -11.7% | 0xebccb0e1… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | AVAXUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0xebccb0e1… |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SDOT | SHORT | Correct | 100.0% | 0x1b17d3d7… |
| Aug 12, 2026 | PYTHUSD | SHORT | Correct | 85.0% | 0xf8ac6983… |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VNCE | LONG | Correct | 24.9% | 0xc3f2859f… |
| Aug 11, 2026 | AXSUSD | LONG | Incorrect | -11.9% | 0xc3f2859f… |
| Aug 11, 2026 | BIRD | LONG | Incorrect | -12.7% | 0xf1bbd600… |