POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-ESTDKJ-023
Polygon Mainnet
@Imran Hossen
Member since Feb 8, 2026
esTdkj0JVAQR…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
23
15 correct · 8 incorrect
Track length
6 mo
Feb 20, 2026 → Aug 23, 2026
Completeness
71.9%
9 still open
Median horizon
6.9d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
19,317
Growing
Pace
3.8/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
NVDA 17.4%
Top sector concentration
Technology 39.1%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26 | 3 | 33.3% | |
| Mar 26 | 2 | 50% | |
| Apr 26 | 7 | 85.7% | |
| May 26 | 4 | 50% | |
| Jul 26 | 2 | 100% | |
| Aug 26 | 5 | 60% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
84.2%
Avg accuracy on misses
9.6%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA · NVDA | 4 | 25% | 28.8% | 17.4% |
| Microsoft · MSFT | 3 | 66.7% | 61.9% | 13% |
| Solana · SOLUSD | 2 | 50% | 51.6% | 8.7% |
| Ethereum · ETHUSD | 2 | 100% | 92.5% | 8.7% |
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 2 | 100% | 58.8% | 8.7% |
| Amazon · AMZN | 2 | 50% | 51.2% | 8.7% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | 2591.HK | LONG | Incorrect | -49.5% | 0x8bf059c0… |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SOLUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x2019a282… |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ETHUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0xc1e3e9ad… |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CLUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x781667c7… |
| Aug 2, 2026 | SOLUSD | LONG | Incorrect | -3.2% | 0x4a841e2e… |
| Jul 19, 2026 | GCUSD | SHORT | Correct | 20.8% | 0xabf8367c… |
| Jul 19, 2026 | SPCX | SHORT | Correct | 85.0% | 0x8dc52644… |
| May 6, 2026 | BTCUSD | LONG | Correct | 32.5% | 0x3198a3ef… |