POLYSIGNALS

Polysignals Platform

Verified Prediction
Track Record

On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM

PS-2026-ELESAE-366

LIVE · Aug 25, 2026 UTC

Polygon Mainnet

@M Ekram

Member since Feb 6, 2026

eLESaezBWTay…

Polysignals Affirmed

Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold

01 · Track Summary

Verified (n)

366

180 correct · 186 incorrect

Track length

6.4 mo

Feb 10, 2026 → Aug 25, 2026

Completeness

82.2%

79 still open

Median horizon

Create → expiry

Polyrating

75,968

Advanced

Pace

57.2/mo

Verified outcomes / month

02 · Coverage & Concentration

Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.

Top ticker concentration

BTCUSD 6%

Top sector concentration

Technology 34.2%

By asset class

Stocks

52.1% · n=236 · 64.5%

Crypto

48% · n=75 · 20.5%

Commodity

38.7% · n=31 · 8.5%

ETFs

36.4% · n=11 · 3%

Other

50% · n=10 · 2.7%

Forexn<5

0% · n=3 · 0.8%

By sector

Technology

54.4% · n=125 · 34.2%

Large Cap

42.9% · n=49 · 13.4%

Financial Services

47.9% · n=48 · 13.1%

Communication Services

42.9% · n=28 · 7.7%

Industrials

56.5% · n=23 · 6.3%

Metals

50% · n=18 · 4.9%

Layer 1

61.5% · n=13 · 3.6%

Energy

25% · n=12 · 3.3%

Consumer Cyclical

63.6% · n=11 · 3%

ETFs

40% · n=10 · 2.7%

By direction

LONG

49.8% · n=249 · 68%

SHORT

47.9% · n=117 · 32%

By forecast horizon

< 7 days

43.7% · n=183 · 50%

7–30 days

55.4% · n=157 · 42.9%

30–90 days

52.4% · n=21 · 5.7%

90+ days

40% · n=5 · 1.4%

03 · Consistency

Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.

Last 20: 45%

Last 50: 54%

Trailing 90d: 53%

Max streak: 8W / 8L

Month	n	Hit rate
Feb 26	10	40%
Mar 26	41	51.2%
Apr 26	57	40.4%
May 26	41	43.9%
Jun 26	21	47.6%
Jul 26	113	50.4%
Aug 26	83	56.6%

04 · Edge Detail

Avg accuracy on hits

83.1%

Avg accuracy on misses

9.9%

Top tickers by sample

Asset	n	Hit %	Avg acc	% book
Bitcoin · BTCUSD	22	27.3%	27.1%	6%
Alphabet (Google) · GOOG	17	58.8%	55.6%	4.6%
Netflix · NFLX	16	62.5%	55.4%	4.4%
NVIDIA · NVDA	15	73.3%	71.8%	4.1%
AST SpaceMobile · ASTS	15	66.7%	69.9%	4.1%
Gold · GCUSD	13	46.2%	49.1%	3.6%
Crude Oil WTI · CLUSD	12	25%	22.9%	3.3%
Facebook · META	12	41.7%	42.6%	3.3%
SoFi · SOFI	11	45.5%	30.2%	3%
Rocket Lab · RKLB	10	30%	32.7%	2.7%
Robinhood · HOOD	9	33.3%	36.9%	2.5%
Microsoft · MSFT	9	55.6%	52%	2.5%

05 · Blockchain Audit

Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.

Open full ledger

Date	Asset	Dir	Result	Acc	Verify tx
Aug 25, 2026	SPCX	SHORT	Correct	100.0%	0xadbb168b…
Aug 25, 2026	ESUSD	LONG	Incorrect	-0.4%	0x4cc94d3c…
Aug 24, 2026	SEIUSD	SHORT	Incorrect	-0.5%	0xfb9c702b…
Aug 22, 2026	BTCUSD	SHORT	Incorrect	-19.3%	0xeff531b2…
Aug 22, 2026	ONDOUSD	LONG	Correct	52.2%	0x9625a824…
Aug 22, 2026	BTCUSD	SHORT	Incorrect	-22.9%	0x1c8a13cd…
Aug 21, 2026	BTCUSD	LONG	Correct	100.0%	0xfb3d8fd3…
Aug 20, 2026	CRM	SHORT	Incorrect	-12.4%	0xb3f0dbf5…