POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-RUYRYL-042
Polygon Mainnet
@Stefano Murdaca
Member since Feb 9, 2026
RuyrYLBjqabm…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
42
21 correct · 21 incorrect
Track length
4.6 mo
Feb 11, 2026 → Jun 30, 2026
Completeness
100%
0 still open
Median horizon
1.1d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
21,606
Growing
Pace
9.1/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
GCUSD 33.3%
Top sector concentration
Metals 54.8%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26 | 7 | 0% | |
| Mar 26 | 26 | 65.4% | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | 33.3% | |
| May 26 | 4 | 75% | |
| Jun 26 | 2 | 0% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
92.5%
Avg accuracy on misses
4.7%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold · GCUSD | 14 | 85.7% | 87% | 33.3% |
| Silver · SIUSD | 7 | 28.6% | 28.5% | 16.7% |
| S&P 500 · ESUSD | 3 | 0% | 3% | 7.1% |
| Euro / U.S. Dollar · EURUSD | 3 | 66.7% | 67% | 7.1% |
| Crude Oil WTI · CLUSD | 2 | 50% | 60.2% | 4.8% |
| AST SpaceMobile · ASTS | 2 | 50% | 44.2% | 4.8% |
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 2 | 0% | 1.5% | 4.8% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | GCUSD | LONG | Incorrect | -17.2% | 0x1957a2d0… |
| Jun 14, 2026 | CLUSD | SHORT | Incorrect | -35.4% | 0x9356a26e… |
| May 31, 2026 | IONQ | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0x3559f893… |
| May 31, 2026 | SIUSD | SHORT | Correct | 85.0% | 0x4fc64946… |
| May 14, 2026 | ESUSD | SHORT | Incorrect | -8.4% | 0x035407f9… |
| May 11, 2026 | EURUSD | SHORT | Correct | 100.0% | 0xe823039a… |
| Apr 30, 2026 | CLUSD | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0xe4002e01… |
| Apr 30, 2026 | ESUSD | SHORT | Incorrect | -0.5% | 0x80305aa1… |