POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-PCDXTB-278
Polygon Mainnet
@Muhammad Nasir
Member since Jul 12, 2026
PCDXTbCDDHQR…
Distinguished
Platform-affirmed · prestige track record
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
278
226 correct · 52 incorrect
Track length
1.4 mo
Jul 13, 2026 → Aug 25, 2026
Completeness
91.4%
26 still open
Median horizon
0.6d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
50,596
Advanced
Pace
198.6/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
CLUSD 2.5%
Top sector concentration
Other 73.4%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 226 | 85% | |
| Aug 26 | 52 | 65.4% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
95.1%
Avg accuracy on misses
46.5%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil WTI · CLUSD | 7 | 71.4% | 70.4% | 2.5% |
| will-ethereum-reach-1950-on-july-15 · will-ethereum-reach-1950-on-july-15 | 7 | 100% | 100% | 2.5% |
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 6 | 50% | 18.7% | 2.2% |
| Worldcoin · WLDUSD | 6 | 66.7% | 65.1% | 2.2% |
| iran-full-airspace-closure-by-july-15-20260625195254149 · iran-full-airspace-closure-by-july-15-20260625195254149 | 6 | 100% | 100% | 2.2% |
| will-bitcoin-reach-67k-on-july-15 · will-bitcoin-reach-67k-on-july-15 | 6 | 100% | 100% | 2.2% |
| will-bitcoin-reach-68k-on-july-15 · will-bitcoin-reach-68k-on-july-15 | 6 | 100% | 100% | 2.2% |
| Solana · SOLUSD | 5 | 0% | 2% | 1.8% |
| Ethereum · ETHUSD | 5 | 80% | 56.1% | 1.8% |
| mojtaba-khamenei-seen-in-public-by-july-15-155 · mojtaba-khamenei-seen-in-public-by-july-15-155 | 5 | 100% | 100% | 1.8% |
| Binance Coin · BNBUSD | 4 | 50% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Litecoin · LTCUSD | 4 | 100% | 100% | 1.4% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BNBUSD | LONG | Correct | 5.0% | 0x6b6bc3ac… |
| Aug 25, 2026 | SCZM | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0x127511f5… |
| Aug 22, 2026 | DOGEUSD | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0xfcc01188… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | PYTHUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0xf8b52eea… |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 000537.SZ | LONG | Incorrect | -6.1% | 0xe28c1389… |
| Aug 19, 2026 | HYPEUSD | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0xfa80e9d5… |
| Aug 19, 2026 | BNBUSD | LONG | Correct | 20.3% | 0x6b7a6821… |
| Aug 14, 2026 | META | LONG | Incorrect | -8.4% | 0x40da32eb… |