POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-MT6ECW-052
Polygon Mainnet
@mansur sani (Natata)
Member since Jul 17, 2026
MT6ecWVfPce8…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
52
25 correct · 27 incorrect
Track length
1.2 mo
Jul 19, 2026 → Aug 24, 2026
Completeness
88.1%
7 still open
Median horizon
7d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
35,084
Growing
Pace
43.3/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
BTCUSD 11.5%
Top sector concentration
Large Cap 38.5%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 30 | 43.3% | |
| Aug 26 | 22 | 54.5% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
91.5%
Avg accuracy on misses
4.7%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 6 | 66.7% | 64.5% | 11.5% |
| Ethereum · ETHUSD | 6 | 50% | 35.5% | 11.5% |
| XRP · XRPUSD | 3 | 33.3% | 34.4% | 5.8% |
| Palantir · PLTR | 2 | 100% | 100% | 3.8% |
| NVIDIA · NVDA | 2 | 0% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Chainlink · LINKUSD | 2 | 50% | 43.5% | 3.8% |
| Solana · SOLUSD | 2 | 100% | 92.5% | 3.8% |
| Litecoin · LTCUSD | 2 | 0% | 1.2% | 3.8% |
| Hyperliquid · HYPEUSD | 2 | 50% | 52% | 3.8% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | PLTR | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x291dde3c… |
| Aug 24, 2026 | HD | LONG | Incorrect | -0.4% | 0x291dde3c… |
| Aug 24, 2026 | NVDA | LONG | Incorrect | -7.7% | 0x291dde3c… |
| Aug 24, 2026 | IWM | LONG | Incorrect | -1.9% | 0x7da3d6e0… |
| Aug 22, 2026 | CDZI | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0x1ad6c0f8… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | LINKUSD | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0xba044945… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | PLTR | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x264ca013… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | SOLUSD | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0x264ca013… |