POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-CHMZSB-019
Polygon Mainnet
@Roiz Miguel Dayawon
Member since Jul 14, 2026
ChmZSBl3MzRq…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
19
10 correct · 9 incorrect
Track length
0.8 mo
Jul 18, 2026 → Aug 11, 2026
Completeness
90.5%
2 still open
Median horizon
14d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
20,264
Growing
Pace
23.8/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
ASTS 5.3%
Top sector concentration
Technology 26.3%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 11 | 45.5% | |
| Aug 26 | 8 | 62.5% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
73.3%
Avg accuracy on misses
5.2%
Top tickers by sample
Need at least 2 verified outcomes per ticker.
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | ASTS | LONG | Incorrect | -2.0% | 0xf6302e9b… |
| Aug 11, 2026 | WLDUSD | SHORT | Correct | 85.0% | 0xf6302e9b… |
| Aug 11, 2026 | GCUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0xf6302e9b… |
| Aug 10, 2026 | BNBUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x85e43c39… |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NVDA | LONG | Correct | 1.9% | 0x7c5ac864… |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SIUSD | SHORT | Incorrect | -1.1% | 0x7c5ac864… |
| Aug 4, 2026 | HYPEUSD | SHORT | Correct | 85.0% | 0x7c5ac864… |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AAPL | LONG | Incorrect | -1.1% | 0xe99d45bd… |