POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-5OMIL8-018
Polygon Mainnet
@John Careful
Member since Jul 4, 2026
5OMiL8iu4mNk…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
18
12 correct · 6 incorrect
Track length
1.4 mo
Jul 12, 2026 → Aug 24, 2026
Completeness
54.5%
15 still open
Median horizon
3.5d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
21,879
Growing
Pace
12.9/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
BTCUSD 22.2%
Top sector concentration
Large Cap 33.3%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 2 | 100% | |
| Aug 26 | 16 | 62.5% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
32.6%
Avg accuracy on misses
3.6%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 4 | 75% | 51.3% | 22.2% |
| Crude Oil WTI · CLUSD | 3 | 100% | 23.4% | 16.7% |
| Gold · GCUSD | 2 | 100% | 21.3% | 11.1% |
| Ethereum · ETHUSD | 2 | 0% | 0.6% | 11.1% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | SEIUSD | LONG | Correct | 12.0% | 0x5b14605a… |
| Aug 22, 2026 | ONDOUSD | LONG | Correct | 34.0% | 0x9625a824… |
| Aug 22, 2026 | BTCUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x0f23e7a8… |
| Aug 21, 2026 | BTCUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0xfae4b9e2… |
| Aug 21, 2026 | NBIS | LONG | Incorrect | -4.3% | 0x55f8f275… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | GCUSD | LONG | Correct | 21.3% | 0x09a58bc3… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | GCUSD | LONG | Correct | 21.3% | 0x022dca29… |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CLUSD | LONG | Correct | 26.6% | 0x96606867… |