POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-48EI5F-036
Polygon Mainnet
@Rajiv Menon
Member since Apr 13, 2026
48ei5FCqxWS5…
Distinguished
Platform-affirmed · prestige track record
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
36
20 correct · 16 incorrect
Track length
1.2 mo
Apr 16, 2026 → May 24, 2026
Completeness
100%
0 still open
Median horizon
2.8d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
26,328
Growing
Pace
30/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
RDDT 8.3%
Top sector concentration
Technology 22.2%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | 15 | 53.3% | |
| May 26 | 21 | 57.1% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
79.3%
Avg accuracy on misses
3.4%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reddit · RDDT | 3 | 66.7% | 45.2% | 8.3% |
| Sun Communities · SUI | 3 | 33.3% | 33.9% | 8.3% |
| PBM · PBM | 2 | 50% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| Binance Coin · BNBUSD | 2 | 100% | 100% | 5.6% |
| AST SpaceMobile · ASTS | 2 | 100% | 60.5% | 5.6% |
| TRON · TRXUSD | 2 | 50% | 12.8% | 5.6% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | V | LONG | Incorrect | -1.1% | 0x591cea06… |
| May 23, 2026 | PBM | LONG | Correct | 6.7% | 0x4bc7d329… |
| May 22, 2026 | MSFT | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x6b39df4a… |
| May 21, 2026 | RDDT | LONG | Incorrect | -3.7% | 0xe3bc2c87… |
| May 20, 2026 | DARE | LONG | Correct | 34.0% | 0x8df74be0… |
| May 19, 2026 | WDC | LONG | Incorrect | -4.9% | 0xbe16e443… |
| May 16, 2026 | RDDT | LONG | Correct | 31.8% | 0x45571eba… |
| May 15, 2026 | ETHUSD | SHORT | Incorrect | -0.1% | 0x4ef0376e… |