POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-39L6QB-264
Polygon Mainnet
@mdnahid14
Member since Feb 9, 2026
39l6QBYBqQdK…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
264
139 correct · 125 incorrect
Track length
5.4 mo
Feb 11, 2026 → Jul 26, 2026
Completeness
100%
0 still open
Median horizon
5.8d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
63,015
Advanced
Pace
48.9/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
CLUSD 6.8%
Top sector concentration
Technology 22.7%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26 | 3 | 0% | |
| Mar 26 | 33 | 51.5% | |
| Apr 26 | 59 | 52.5% | |
| May 26 | 97 | 55.7% | |
| Jun 26 | 61 | 52.5% | |
| Jul 26 | 11 | 45.5% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
89%
Avg accuracy on misses
7.7%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil WTI · CLUSD | 18 | 44.4% | 47% | 6.8% |
| NVIDIA · NVDA | 18 | 55.6% | 56.4% | 6.8% |
| Ethereum · ETHUSD | 18 | 38.9% | 41.5% | 6.8% |
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 17 | 35.3% | 39.2% | 6.4% |
| RDAC · RDAC | 9 | 77.8% | 72.7% | 3.4% |
| Gold · GCUSD | 9 | 44.4% | 44.5% | 3.4% |
| Facebook · META | 8 | 50% | 53.6% | 3% |
| Tesla · TSLA | 8 | 37.5% | 38% | 3% |
| CTNT · CTNT | 6 | 50% | 53.2% | 2.3% |
| Microsoft · MSFT | 6 | 50% | 52.4% | 2.3% |
| Silver · SIUSD | 6 | 33.3% | 39.9% | 2.3% |
| Binance Coin · BNBUSD | 5 | 40% | 43.6% | 1.9% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | CLUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x0c9e0d71… |
| Jul 24, 2026 | CLUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x95b37564… |
| Jul 21, 2026 | META | LONG | Incorrect | -3.5% | 0x6a2b4a44… |
| Jul 7, 2026 | NVDA | LONG | Incorrect | -1.6% | 0xc452e139… |
| Jul 5, 2026 | fifwc-bra-nor-2026-07-05-bra | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x4e60792b… |
| Jul 4, 2026 | ETHUSD | SHORT | Incorrect | -14.3% | 0x005858ef… |
| Jul 4, 2026 | fifwc-arg-cvi-2026-07-03-arg | LONG | Incorrect | -100.0% | 0x0ac74be0… |
| Jul 3, 2026 | NVDA | LONG | Incorrect | -3.0% | 0x726a840c… |