POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-2FM5D0-040
Polygon Mainnet
@Mirza Alamin Hossen
Member since Feb 15, 2026
2fm5d0enYuXp…
Distinguished
Platform-affirmed · prestige track record
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
40
30 correct · 10 incorrect
Track length
3.2 mo
Apr 18, 2026 → Jul 23, 2026
Completeness
100%
0 still open
Median horizon
13.1d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
57,544
Advanced
Pace
12.5/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
AAPL 5%
Top sector concentration
Technology 47.5%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | 4 | 100% | |
| May 26 | 23 | 78.3% | |
| Jun 26 | 12 | 66.7% | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | 0% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
83.3%
Avg accuracy on misses
8.2%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc. · AAPL | 2 | 100% | 100% | 5% |
| ULTHF · ULTHF | 2 | 100% | 60.7% | 5% |
| AMD · AMD | 2 | 100% | 92.5% | 5% |
| Ethereum · ETHUSD | 2 | 50% | 52.1% | 5% |
| Micron Technology · MU | 2 | 100% | 85% | 5% |
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 2 | 50% | 51.9% | 5% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | IBM | LONG | Incorrect | -10.0% | 0x3b6a2855… |
| Jun 10, 2026 | CRSR | LONG | Incorrect | -11.1% | 0x425b1c82… |
| Jun 9, 2026 | SPCE | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0xdf6f4673… |
| Jun 9, 2026 | elon-musk-of-tweets-june-2-june-9-60-79 | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0xdd291727… |
| Jun 4, 2026 | AAPL | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x2695b4d6… |
| Jun 4, 2026 | ULTHF | LONG | Correct | 36.6% | 0x8e549d6b… |
| Jun 4, 2026 | AMD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x713f721b… |
| Jun 4, 2026 | ETHUSD | LONG | Incorrect | -19.2% | 0x90c744c9… |