POLYSIGNALS
Polysignals Platform
Verified Prediction Track Record
On-chain verified market calls · not investment returns · not AUM
PS-2026-1HLU5N-032
Polygon Mainnet
@Amit Kumar
Member since Jul 10, 2026
1hlU5NOFnIba…
Polysignals Affirmed
Verified outcomes meet affirmation threshold
01 · Track Summary
Verified (n)
32
16 correct · 16 incorrect
Track length
0.8 mo
Jul 15, 2026 → Aug 8, 2026
Completeness
84.2%
6 still open
Median horizon
7.7d
Create → expiry
Polyrating
27,728
Growing
Pace
40/mo
Verified outcomes / month
02 · Coverage & Concentration
Every rate includes sample size (n). Cells with n<5 are marked insufficient.
Top ticker concentration
META 12.5%
Top sector concentration
Technology 34.4%
By asset class
By sector
By direction
By forecast horizon
03 · Consistency
Cumulative Polyrating change path — drawdowns visible, not just endpoint.
| Month | n | Hit rate | Visual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 24 | 45.8% | |
| Aug 26 | 8 | 62.5% |
04 · Edge Detail
Avg accuracy on hits
74.7%
Avg accuracy on misses
7.3%
Top tickers by sample
| Asset | n | Hit % | Avg acc | % book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facebook · META | 4 | 50% | 51.4% | 12.5% |
| Bitcoin · BTCUSD | 2 | 100% | 58.7% | 6.3% |
| Zcash · ZECUSD | 2 | 50% | 53.9% | 6.3% |
| Solana · SOLUSD | 2 | 50% | 51.8% | 6.3% |
| NVIDIA · NVDA | 2 | 0% | 3% | 6.3% |
05 · Blockchain Audit
Every verified outcome has create + verify transactions on Polygon. Export the ledger or spot-check below.
| Date | Asset | Dir | Result | Acc | Verify tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AAPL | LONG | Incorrect | -2.0% | 0x6fe3cb47… |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SIUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x7b495df8… |
| Aug 8, 2026 | XMRUSD | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0x7b495df8… |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SMERY | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x7b495df8… |
| Aug 6, 2026 | MSFT | LONG | Correct | 85.0% | 0xc5e19379… |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TONUSD | LONG | Incorrect | -14.8% | 0x0c377086… |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HYPEUSD | LONG | Incorrect | -22.1% | 0x0c377086… |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ETHUSD | LONG | Correct | 100.0% | 0x0c377086… |